Matchup Machine

Anthony Rendon

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

268th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Anthony Rendon

249th out of 567 (Best 45%)

Strong advantage for Rendon
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Model Prediction

Anthony Rendon has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 1.2% higher than Rendon's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.2%21.5%1.9%5.5%14.2%13.6%14.4%
Rendon+1.2-0.70.0-0.1-0.5+1.8-1.1
Flaherty+1.0-1.7-1.7+0.3-0.3+2.7-8.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Rendon is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rendon has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Anthony Rendon has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

9.2% of Anthony Rendon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.1% +5.8% 3%         Walk +3.2% -1.5% 37%         In Play +5.9% -4.3% 39%         On Base +2.4% -2.0% 31%         Hit -0.8% -0.5% 14%         Single +0.2% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.2%

History

Anthony Rendon has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.930.000.010.920.467
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-04Hit By Pitch
2023-05-04Single1%92%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.