Matchup Machine

      Anthony Rendon

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      matchup for Zach Eflin

      354th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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      Zach Eflin

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      matchup for Anthony Rendon

      345th out of 564 (Worst 39%)

      Moderate advantage for Rendon
      5

      Model Prediction

      Anthony Rendon has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 3.3% lower than Rendon's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Eflin.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Anthony Rendon is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rendon has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Anthony Rendon has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      33%
         Curve (R)
      19%
         Cutter (R)
      16%
         Slider (R)
      13%
         4-Seam (R)
      10%
         Changeup (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      9.2% of Anthony Rendon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.1% 0.0% 3%         Walk +3.2% -4.0% 37%         In Play +5.9% +4.0% 39%         On Base +2.4% -3.7% 31%         Hit -0.8% +0.2% 14%         Single +0.2% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +0.0% 3%         Home Run -1.2% +0.1%

      History

      Anthony Rendon has 6 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual663003000.500
      Expected From Contact →1.460.010.101.350.243
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-15Single24%76%
      2024-04-15Flyout99%
      2024-04-15Groundout28%72%
      2024-04-08Single1%30%69%
      2024-04-08Single4%52%44%
      2024-04-08Flyout4%95%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.