Matchup Machine

James McCann

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matchup for Jared Jones

158th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for James McCann

408th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
3

Model Prediction

James McCann has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.7% lower than McCann's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%21.0%3.1%5.1%12.8%7.8%32.5%
McCann-1.7-2.1+0.3-0.1-2.3+0.4+5.3
Jones-2.3+0.2+0.2+0.0-0.1-2.5+3.9

Handedness and Release Point

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James McCann is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCann has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. James McCann has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of James McCann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% +0.4% 5%         Walk -2.3% +0.6% 39%         In Play +1.0% -1.1% 39%         On Base -0.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.0% -0.8% 14%         Single +0.2% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.2% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years