Matchup Machine

James McCann

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matchup for Reid Detmers

238th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Reid Detmers

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matchup for James McCann

283rd out of 567 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of McCann
1

Model Prediction

James McCann has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 1.5% higher than McCann's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Detmers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%24.0%3.1%5.6%15.3%7.9%34.2%
McCann+1.5+1.0+0.3+0.4+0.3+0.5+7.0
Detmers-0.1+1.8-0.1+0.5+1.3-1.9+1.7

Handedness and Release Point

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James McCann is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCann has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. James McCann has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of James McCann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% +6.4% 5%         Walk -2.3% -0.2% 39%         In Play +1.0% -6.1% 39%         On Base -0.3% -3.3% 31%         Hit +2.0% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.2% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -1.9% 3%         Home Run +1.2% +1.2%

History

James McCann has 5 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551100200.200
Expected From Contact →1.080.990.010.070.216
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-22Strikeout
2024-04-22Home Run99%
2024-04-22Groundout7%92%
2024-03-31Flyout99%
2024-03-31Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.