Matchup Machine

James McCann

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matchup for David Peterson

241st out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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David Peterson

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matchup for James McCann

207th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for McCann
3

Model Prediction

James McCann has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 1.8% higher than McCann's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Peterson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%24.1%2.9%5.1%16.2%8.1%24.7%
McCann+1.8+1.1+0.0-0.1+1.1+0.7-2.5
Peterson-0.7+1.2+0.6+0.1+0.5-1.9+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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James McCann is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. McCann has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. James McCann has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
30%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
23%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of James McCann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% +0.1% 5%         Walk -2.3% +1.3% 39%         In Play +1.0% -1.3% 39%         On Base -0.3% +2.1% 31%         Hit +2.0% +0.8% 14%         Single +0.2% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -1.0%

History

James McCann has 1 plate appearance against David Peterson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-04Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.