Matchup Machine

James McCann

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matchup for Tanner Houck

229th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for James McCann

279th out of 567 (Best 50%)

Leans in favor of McCann
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Model Prediction

James McCann has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.6% higher than McCann's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%23.0%2.3%4.7%16.0%8.0%21.8%
McCann+0.60.0-0.5-0.4+0.9+0.6-5.4
Houck-0.8+0.9+0.2+0.4+0.4-1.7+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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James McCann is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. McCann has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. James McCann has a B- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of James McCann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% -1.6% 5%         Walk -2.3% +0.2% 39%         In Play +1.0% +1.4% 39%         On Base -0.3% +0.4% 31%         Hit +2.0% +0.3% 14%         Single +0.2% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -0.9%

History

James McCann has 2 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.160.000.080.080.081
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-10-01Pop Out100%
2023-10-01Groundout8%8%84%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.