Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

James McCann

matchup for Seth Lugo

168th out of 436 (Best 39%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for James McCann

271st out of 567 (Best 49%)

Leans in favor of McCann

James McCann has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.8% higher than McCann's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	23.9%	3.1%	4.8%	16.0%	7.4%	27.9%
McCann	+0.8	+0.8	+0.3	-0.4	+0.9	0.0	+0.7
Lugo	-1.2	0.0	0.0	-0.2	+0.2	-1.1	+3.0

James McCann is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCann has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. James McCann has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. James McCann has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. James McCann has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

15.4% of James McCann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.4% +0.8% 5%

Walk -2.3% -2.3% 39%

In Play +1.0% +1.4% 39%

On Base -0.3% -0.4% 31%

Hit +2.0% +1.9% 14%

Single +0.2% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +1.2% +0.1%

33.9% of James McCann's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.5% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +3.0% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.8% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -1.2% -2.2%

20.7% of James McCann's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.6% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.0% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.6% -1.6%

12.1% of James McCann's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%