Matchup Machine

James McCann

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matchup for Austin Gomber

248th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for James McCann

84th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for McCann
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Model Prediction

James McCann has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.4% higher than McCann's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.8%27.6%3.2%7.2%17.2%4.3%19.7%
McCann+1.4+4.5+0.4+2.0+2.1-3.1-7.5
Gomber+0.1+1.7-0.1+0.5+1.3-1.5+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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James McCann is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. McCann has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. James McCann has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of James McCann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% -3.3% 5%         Walk -2.3% -2.5% 39%         In Play +1.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base -0.3% +0.6% 31%         Hit +2.0% +3.1% 14%         Single +0.2% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.2% +0.3%

History

James McCann has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →1.000.010.790.210.502
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-30Flyout8%91%
2024-08-30Lineout71%20%9%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.