Matchup Machine

James McCann

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

337th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for James McCann

3rd out of 567 (Best 1%)

Extreme advantage for McCann
10

Model Prediction

James McCann has a 38.8% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 8.3% higher than McCann's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.8%31.4%3.1%6.1%22.3%7.3%18.6%
McCann+8.3+8.4+0.3+0.9+7.2-0.1-8.6
Stroman+1.2+2.6+0.4+0.2+2.0-1.4+0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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James McCann is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCann has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. James McCann has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of James McCann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% -3.1% 5%         Walk -2.3% -0.8% 39%         In Play +1.0% +3.9% 39%         On Base -0.3% +3.0% 31%         Hit +2.0% +3.8% 14%         Single +0.2% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -1.1%

History

James McCann has 2 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.560.000.030.530.282
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-25Groundout10%89%
2024-09-25Lineout3%43%54%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.