Kyle Higashioka has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 1.4% lower than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Yamamoto.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 29.5% | 21.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 28.4% |
Higashioka | -1.4 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.8 | +0.1 | -0.5 | +3.3 |
Yamamoto | +0.4 | +1.1 | +1.2 | +0.7 | -0.7 | -0.8 | +0.4 |
Kyle Higashioka is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Higashioka has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
7% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Higashioka hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
43% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Higashioka has a C- grade against this type of pitch.
15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
27.7% of Kyle Higashioka's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto induces Standard Grounders at a 42.2% rate, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
23.6% of Kyle Higashioka's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 28.2% of batted balls allowed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
12.4% of Kyle Higashioka's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Kyle Higashioka has 2 plate appearances against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.305 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-10-11 | Single | 53% | 46% | ||
2024-10-05 | Groundout | 7% | 93% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.