Matchup Machine

Kyle Higashioka

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

357th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Kyle Higashioka

495th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
4

Model Prediction

Kyle Higashioka has a 27.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.0% lower than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.1%20.8%5.1%4.5%11.2%6.4%39.1%
Higashioka-4.0-1.6+1.1-0.8-2.0-2.4+13.5
Crochet-0.2+0.5+2.5+0.0-2.1-0.7+1.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Higashioka is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Higashioka has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% +9.4% 5%         Walk -2.2% -1.4% 39%         In Play +0.3% -8.0% 39%         On Base -3.6% -4.4% 31%         Hit -1.4% -3.0% 14%         Single -2.6% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +3.4% -0.2%

History

Kyle Higashioka has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010000.333
Expected From Contact →1.000.001.000.000.334
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Pop Out
2025-03-27Double
2024-09-20Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.