Kyle Higashioka has a 27.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.0% lower than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Crochet.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.1% | 20.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 39.1% |
Higashioka | -4.0 | -1.6 | +1.1 | -0.8 | -2.0 | -2.4 | +13.5 |
Crochet | -0.2 | +0.5 | +2.5 | +0.0 | -2.1 | -0.7 | +1.3 |
Kyle Higashioka is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Higashioka has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Kyle Higashioka has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.334 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2025-03-27 | Pop Out | ||||
2025-03-27 | Double | ||||
2024-09-20 | Flyout | 100% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.