Matchup Machine

Kyle Higashioka

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

305th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Kyle Higashioka

337th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Leans in favor of Higashioka
2

Model Prediction

Kyle Higashioka has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.2% higher than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%20.3%3.3%4.3%12.7%10.8%23.0%
Higashioka+0.2-2.0-0.3-1.0-0.6+2.2-2.1
Schmidt-0.9+0.7+0.9+0.3-0.5-1.6-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Higashioka is worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Higashioka has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% +0.3% 5%         Walk -2.4% +1.6% 39%         In Play +0.6% -1.9% 39%         On Base -3.8% -0.3% 31%         Hit -1.4% -2.0% 14%         Single -2.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +3.5% 0.0%

History

Kyle Higashioka has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-26Strikeout
2024-05-26Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.