Matchup Machine

Kyle Higashioka

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

359th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Kyle Higashioka

49th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Extreme advantage for Higashioka
9

Model Prediction

Kyle Higashioka has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.3% higher than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%24.8%5.1%5.6%14.1%9.3%21.5%
Higashioka+3.3+2.5+1.4+0.3+0.8+0.8-3.6
Flaherty0.0+1.6+1.5+0.5-0.4-1.6-1.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Higashioka is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Higashioka has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% +5.8% 5%         Walk -2.4% -1.5% 39%         In Play +0.6% -4.3% 39%         On Base -3.8% -2.0% 31%         Hit -1.4% -0.5% 14%         Single -2.5% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +3.5% -0.2%

History

Kyle Higashioka has 4 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441001000.250
Expected From Contact →1.550.000.131.420.388
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-10-06Pop Out11%29%59%
2024-10-06Groundout12%88%
2023-07-01Single1%86%13%
2023-07-01Groundout15%85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.