Kyle Higashioka has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.3% higher than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Flaherty.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.2% | 24.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 21.5% |
Higashioka | +3.3 | +2.5 | +1.4 | +0.3 | +0.8 | +0.8 | -3.6 |
Flaherty | 0.0 | +1.6 | +1.5 | +0.5 | -0.4 | -1.6 | -1.3 |
Kyle Higashioka is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Higashioka has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.
Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Kyle Higashioka has 4 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.55 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.42 | 0.388 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-10-06 | Pop Out | 11% | 29% | 59% | |
2024-10-06 | Groundout | 12% | 88% | ||
2023-07-01 | Single | 1% | 86% | 13% | |
2023-07-01 | Groundout | 15% | 85% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.