Matchup Machine

Kyle Higashioka

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matchup for Luis Severino

349th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

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Luis Severino

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matchup for Kyle Higashioka

334th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Higashioka
3

Model Prediction

Kyle Higashioka has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 0.8% lower than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Severino.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%21.1%3.7%4.6%12.8%9.0%22.7%
Higashioka-0.8-1.2+0.1-0.8-0.5+0.4-2.4
Severino+0.0-0.2+1.3+0.5-1.9+0.2-0.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Higashioka is worse vs right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Higashioka has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Sinker (R)
8%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% +0.9% 5%         Walk -2.4% -1.1% 39%         In Play +0.6% +0.2% 39%         On Base -3.8% -0.9% 31%         Hit -1.4% +0.2% 14%         Single -2.5% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +3.5% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years