Matchup Machine

      Kyle Higashioka

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      matchup for Colin Rea

      264th out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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      Colin Rea

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      matchup for Kyle Higashioka

      75th out of 564 (Best 14%)

      Extreme advantage for Higashioka
      9

      Model Prediction

      Kyle Higashioka has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 2.7% higher than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Rea.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Kyle Higashioka is worse vs right-handed pitching. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Higashioka has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      29%
         Cutter (R)
      22%
         4-Seam (R)
      21%
         Slider (R)
      13%
         Splitter (R)
      8%
         Curve (R)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% -3.1% 5%         Walk -2.4% -1.6% 39%         In Play +0.6% +4.8% 39%         On Base -3.8% +0.8% 31%         Hit -1.4% +2.5% 14%         Single -2.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +3.5% +1.2%

      History

      Kyle Higashioka has 2 plate appearances against Colin Rea in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual210000010.000
      Expected From Contact →0.150.060.080.010.152
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-06-21Walk
      2024-06-21Flyout6%8%1%85%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.