Matchup Machine

Kyle Higashioka

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matchup for Austin Gomber

284th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Kyle Higashioka

122nd out of 567 (Best 22%)

Strong advantage for Higashioka
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Model Prediction

Kyle Higashioka has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.3% higher than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%26.6%4.3%5.8%16.5%4.6%16.6%
Higashioka+0.3+4.2+0.7+0.4+3.2-4.0-8.5
Gomber-0.6+0.7+1.0-0.9+0.6-1.2-1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Higashioka is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Higashioka has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% -3.3% 5%         Walk -2.4% -2.5% 39%         In Play +0.6% +5.9% 39%         On Base -3.8% +0.6% 31%         Hit -1.4% +3.1% 14%         Single -2.5% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +3.5% +0.3%

History

Kyle Higashioka has 5 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.340.000.140.200.069
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-02Groundout11%89%
2024-08-02Strikeout
2024-08-02Pop Out100%
2023-07-14Lineout14%6%80%
2023-07-14Lineout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.