Matchup Machine

Kyle Higashioka

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matchup for Martin Perez

312th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Kyle Higashioka

85th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Extreme advantage for Higashioka
9

Model Prediction

Kyle Higashioka has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.8% higher than Higashioka's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%25.7%4.1%5.0%16.7%9.0%20.0%
Higashioka+3.8+3.4+0.4-0.4+3.4+0.4-5.1
Perez+0.1+0.4+1.0-0.4-0.3-0.3+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Higashioka is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Higashioka has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Kyle Higashioka has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Kyle Higashioka's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% -6.1% 5%         Walk -2.4% -0.3% 39%         In Play +0.6% +6.4% 39%         On Base -3.8% +5.9% 31%         Hit -1.4% +6.3% 14%         Single -2.5% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +3.5% -0.6%

History

Kyle Higashioka has 4 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual443003000.750
Expected From Contact →2.000.000.171.830.500
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-30Single16%48%36%
2023-04-30Groundout9%91%
2022-10-03Single36%64%
2022-10-03Single90%9%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.