Matchup Machine

Robbie Grossman

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

389th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Robbie Grossman

195th out of 567 (Best 35%)

Moderate advantage for Grossman
5

Model Prediction

Robbie Grossman has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.6% higher than Grossman's typical expectations, and 6.0% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%19.5%1.6%6.0%12.0%16.3%24.0%
Grossman+1.6+0.5-0.3+1.7-0.8+1.1-2.2
Weathers+6.0-2.0-0.5+0.4-1.9+8.0-0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Robbie Grossman is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Grossman has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Robbie Grossman has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Robbie Grossman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% -2.1% 1%         Walk +7.2% -0.6% 42%         In Play -6.7% +2.7% 39%         On Base +0.7% +0.9% 31%         Hit -6.4% +1.5% 14%         Single -2.9% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.5%

History

Robbie Grossman has 5 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551010200.200
Expected From Contact →1.200.000.920.280.241
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-01Double92%6%2%
2024-06-01Groundout16%84%
2024-06-01Strikeout
2023-08-05Groundout6%94%
2023-08-05Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.