Matchup Machine

Robbie Grossman

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matchup for Trevor Rogers

191st out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Trevor Rogers

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matchup for Robbie Grossman

172nd out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Grossman
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Model Prediction

Robbie Grossman has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 1.2% higher than Grossman's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Rogers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%20.8%1.9%5.2%13.7%14.7%21.3%
Grossman+1.2+1.8+0.0+0.9+0.9-0.6-5.0
Rogers+1.5-3.4-0.8-0.5-2.1+4.9+1.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Robbie Grossman is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Grossman has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Robbie Grossman has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
48%
   Changeup (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Robbie Grossman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% -0.4% 1%         Walk +7.2% +0.3% 42%         In Play -6.7% +0.2% 39%         On Base +0.7% +0.7% 31%         Hit -6.4% +0.4% 14%         Single -2.9% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.8%

History

Robbie Grossman has 3 plate appearances against Trevor Rogers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →0.640.000.010.630.213
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-02Flyout100%
2024-06-02Groundout18%82%
2024-06-02Single45%55%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.