Matchup Machine

      Robbie Grossman

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      matchup for Joe Ryan

      151st out of 436 (Best 35%)

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      Joe Ryan

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      matchup for Robbie Grossman

      524th out of 564 (Worst 7%)

      Strong advantage for Ryan
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      Model Prediction

      Robbie Grossman has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 6.0% lower than Grossman's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Ryan.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Robbie Grossman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Grossman has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Robbie Grossman has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      56%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Splitter (R)
      16%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.3% of Robbie Grossman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +4.7% 1%         Walk +7.2% -3.3% 42%         In Play -6.7% -1.4% 39%         On Base +0.7% -8.0% 31%         Hit -6.4% -4.7% 14%         Single -2.9% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -2.7% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.9%

      History

      Robbie Grossman has 10 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 10 with 2 doubles and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual10102020200.200
      Expected From Contact →2.200.131.630.450.220
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-09-01Double13%80%5%3%
      2023-09-01Flyout2%98%
      2023-08-26Strikeout
      2023-08-26Double80%11%9%
      2022-07-23Groundout23%77%
      2022-07-23Flyout99%
      2022-07-23Flyout100%
      2022-04-27Groundout6%93%
      2022-04-27Strikeout
      2022-04-27Bunt Groundout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.