Matchup Machine

Robbie Grossman

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

253rd out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Robbie Grossman

142nd out of 567 (Best 26%)

Strong advantage for Grossman
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Model Prediction

Robbie Grossman has a 37.7% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.5% higher than Grossman's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.7%18.1%2.4%4.0%11.7%19.6%24.1%
Grossman+3.5-0.9+0.5-0.3-1.2+4.4-2.2
Flaherty+3.5-5.2-1.2-1.1-2.8+8.7+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Robbie Grossman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Grossman has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Robbie Grossman has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Robbie Grossman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +5.8% 1%         Walk +7.2% -1.5% 42%         In Play -6.7% -4.3% 39%         On Base +0.7% -2.0% 31%         Hit -6.4% -0.5% 14%         Single -2.9% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.2%

History

Robbie Grossman has 3 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321010010.500
Expected From Contact →0.510.000.230.280.254
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-07Walk
2023-06-07Double22%27%51%
2023-06-07Flyout1%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.