Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Ortega

matchup for Jared Jones

out of 436 (Worst %)

Jared Jones

matchup for Rafael Ortega

398th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

Rafael Ortega has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.1% higher than Ortega's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	17.9%	1.6%	4.1%	12.3%	13.8%	30.8%
Ortega	+0.1	-1.5	-0.1	-0.3	-1.1	+1.6	+5.7
Jones	+0.7	-2.9	-1.4	-1.0	-0.6	+3.6	+2.2

Rafael Ortega is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ortega has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Rafael Ortega has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

13.2% of Rafael Ortega's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +0.4% 2%

Walk +4.5% +0.6% 40%

In Play -2.1% -1.1% 39%

On Base +4.5% -0.1% 31%

Hit +0.1% -0.8% 14%

Single +0.4% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.8% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +0.9%

36.0% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +7.6% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.8% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +2.5%

14.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.8% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.8% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.1% +0.4%

15.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%