Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Ortega

matchup for Ryan Weathers

out of 436 (Worst %)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Rafael Ortega

395th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers

Rafael Ortega has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.8% lower than Ortega's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.8%	18.0%	1.1%	4.2%	12.7%	12.8%	24.2%
Ortega	-0.8	-1.4	-0.6	-0.2	-0.7	+0.6	-0.9
Weathers	+0.9	-3.6	-1.0	-1.3	-1.2	+4.5	-0.5

Rafael Ortega is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Ortega doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Rafael Ortega has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

13.2% of Rafael Ortega's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -2.1% 2%

Walk +4.5% -0.6% 40%

In Play -2.1% +2.7% 39%

On Base +4.5% +0.9% 31%

Hit +0.1% +1.5% 14%

Single +0.4% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +0.8% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -0.5%

36.0% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +7.6% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -1.8% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +1.2%

14.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.8% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.8% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.1% +1.1%

15.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%