Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Ortega

matchup for Hunter Greene

out of 436 (Worst %)

Hunter Greene

matchup for Rafael Ortega

550th out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Extreme advantage for Greene

Rafael Ortega has a 25.8% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Greene, which is 5.8% lower than Ortega's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Greene.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.8%	13.6%	1.7%	3.0%	8.8%	12.2%	33.7%
Ortega	-5.8	-5.8	+0.1	-1.4	-4.5	+0.0	+8.6
Greene	+0.1	-2.9	-1.1	-0.6	-1.3	+3.0	+2.6

Rafael Ortega is better vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Greene is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ortega has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Hunter Greene throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Rafael Ortega has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Slider (R)

38%

14% of Hunter Greene's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

32% of Hunter Greene's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 32%

+29%

Large Break 37%

+16%

Medium Ride 27%

+14%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

13.2% of Rafael Ortega's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Hunter Greene strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +8.0% 2%

Walk +4.5% +0.5% 40%

In Play -2.1% -8.5% 39%

On Base +4.5% -6.2% 31%

Hit +0.1% -6.7% 14%

Single +0.4% -3.4% 13%

2B / 3B +0.8% -3.0% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -0.3%

36.0% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Hunter Greene induces Standard Grounders at a 29.6% rate, which is 4.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% -4.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -2.6% 14%

Low Screamer +7.6% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -4.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -1.8% 3%

Likely Homer -1.8% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +1.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +8.6% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +4.5%

14.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. 20.2% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Greene are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% +1.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.8% +2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.8% -1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.1% -4.1%

15.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. 13.6% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Greene are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.1% -2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.1% -1.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.9% -4.8% 18%

7 to 18° +2.8% -3.0% 15%

19 to 28° -4.3% -3.8% 11%

29 to 38° +3.7% +2.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.1% +5.8% 8%

Above 50° -2.1% +7.9%

Rafael Ortega has 5 plate appearances against Hunter Greene in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01			0.006

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-15	Strikeout
2023-09-15	Walk
2022-06-29	Strikeout
2022-06-29	Flyout		1%		98%
2022-05-26	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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