matchup for Chris Bassitt
matchup for Rafael Ortega
4
Rafael Ortega has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 3.7% higher than Ortega's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Bassitt.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.3% | 21.9% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 22.9% |
| Ortega | +3.7 | +2.5 | -0.2 | +0.1 | +2.6 | +1.2 | -2.2 |
| Bassitt | +0.1 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -0.9 | +2.5 | -0.6 |
Rafael Ortega is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ortega has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Rafael Ortega has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
38%
Cutter (R)
17%
Slider (R)
14%
Curve (R)
13%
4-Seam (R)
10%
Changeup (R)
7%
12% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
12%
+4%
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Meatball
4%
-3%
33% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
33%
+19%
Slow Lob
20%
+18%
Low Ride
39%
+15%
Fastball (R)
64%
+11%
13.2% of Rafael Ortega's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.3%
-0.4%
2%
Walk
+4.5%
+0.1%
40%
In Play
-2.1%
+0.3%
39%
On Base
+4.5%
+1.5%
31%
Hit
+0.1%
+1.4%
14%
Single
+0.4%
+0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.8%
+1.0%
3%
Home Run
-1.1%
-0.4%
36.0% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt induces Standard Grounders at a 35.7% rate, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.7%
+0.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
+1.6%
+1.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.9%
+0.5%
14%
Low Screamer
+7.6%
+1.5%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.7%
+1.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
-2.2%
-1.7%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.8%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
+0.0%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.0%
-2.4%
3%
Pop up
-0.3%
-0.4%
14.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.0% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+4.7%
+1.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+6.8%
+0.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.2%
+1.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.8%
-1.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-10.0%
-1.4%
15.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. 10.8% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.1%
-0.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.1%
+0.0%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.9%
+3.2%
18%
7 to 18°
+2.8%
+0.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-4.3%
+0.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.7%
-0.7%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.1%
-1.7%
8%
Above 50°
-2.1%
-1.1%
Rafael Ortega has 2 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.89 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.89 | 0.947 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2022-09-12 | Single | 7% | 88% | 5% | |
| 2022-09-12 | Home Run | 80% | 13% | 1% | 6% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
