Matchup Machine

Rafael Ortega

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matchup for Austin Gomber

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Rafael Ortega

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Ortega
4

Model Prediction

Rafael Ortega has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.3% higher than Ortega's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%23.5%1.6%6.4%15.4%8.4%18.1%
Ortega+0.3+4.10.0+2.0+2.1-3.8-7.0
Gomber+0.2-2.4-1.7-0.2-0.5+2.6+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Rafael Ortega is worse vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ortega doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Rafael Ortega has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Rafael Ortega's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.3% -3.3% 2%         Walk +4.5% -2.5% 40%         In Play -2.1% +5.9% 39%         On Base +4.5% +0.6% 31%         Hit +0.1% +3.1% 14%         Single +0.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.8% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years