Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Ortega

matchup for Marcus Stroman

out of 436 (Worst %)

Marcus Stroman

matchup for Rafael Ortega

33rd out of 567 (Best 7%)

Strong advantage for Ortega

Rafael Ortega has a 36.6% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.0% higher than Ortega's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Stroman.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.6%	25.2%	1.6%	5.1%	18.5%	11.4%	18.5%
Ortega	+5.0	+5.8	0.0	+0.7	+5.1	-0.8	-6.6
Stroman	-1.0	-3.7	-1.1	-0.8	-1.8	+2.7	+0.4

Rafael Ortega is better vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ortega has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Rafael Ortega has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

40%

Slider (R)

18%

Cutter (R)

15%

Splitter (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

4-Seam (R)

22% of Marcus Stroman's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

37% of Marcus Stroman's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Ortega has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 37%

+24%

Medium Velo 29%

+18%

13.2% of Rafael Ortega's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -3.1% 2%

Walk +4.5% -0.8% 40%

In Play -2.1% +3.9% 39%

On Base +4.5% +3.0% 31%

Hit +0.1% +3.8% 14%

Single +0.4% +2.4% 13%

2B / 3B +0.8% +2.4% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -1.1%

36.0% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman induces Standard Grounders at a 43.6% rate, which is 9.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% +9.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% +4.1% 14%

Low Screamer +7.6% -1.9% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.8% -1.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% -6.1% 3%

Pop up -0.3% -1.9%

14.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Marcus Stroman are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.8% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.8% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.1% +4.4%

15.2% of Rafael Ortega's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. 7.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcus Stroman are hit at this angle, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%