Matchup Machine

Rafael Ortega

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Rafael Ortega

183rd out of 567 (Best 33%)

Leans in favor of Ortega
2

Model Prediction

Rafael Ortega has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.2% higher than Ortega's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%18.8%1.8%4.4%12.5%14.1%21.3%
Ortega+1.2-0.6+0.2+0.0-0.8+1.9-3.8
Anderson-0.9-3.5-1.1-0.8-1.6+2.6-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Rafael Ortega is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ortega doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Rafael Ortega has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Rafael Ortega's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.3% -1.9% 2%         Walk +4.5% -1.0% 40%         In Play -2.1% +2.9% 39%         On Base +4.5% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.1% +0.9% 14%         Single +0.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.8% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years