Matchup Machine

      Marcell Ozuna

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      matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

      362nd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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      Elvin Rodriguez

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      matchup for Marcell Ozuna

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Extreme advantage for Ozuna
      9

      Model Prediction

      Marcell Ozuna has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 0.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      51%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Curve (R)
      12%
         Changeup (R)
      12%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.1% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% -5.0% 3%         Walk +4.1% -1.5% 42%         In Play -6.6% +6.5% 39%         On Base +4.7% -1.5% 31%         Hit +0.6% -0.1% 14%         Single -1.0% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -2.0% 3%         Home Run +2.3% +4.3%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years