Matchup Machine

Christian Bethancourt

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matchup for Tanner Houck

45th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for C. Bethancourt

367th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Houck
5

Model Prediction

Christian Bethancourt has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.6% lower than Bethancourt's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.7%21.8%2.3%4.5%15.0%4.9%25.6%
Bethancourt-0.6-1.1-0.8-0.7+0.3+0.6-3.0
Houck-5.0-0.3+0.2+0.1-0.6-4.8+6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Bethancourt is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Bethancourt has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Christian Bethancourt has a B+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Christian Bethancourt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.3% -1.6% 6%         Walk -4.3% +0.2% 39%         In Play +1.0% +1.4% 39%         On Base -6.4% +0.4% 31%         Hit -2.1% +0.3% 14%         Single -1.6% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.9%

History

Christian Bethancourt has 2 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.360.000.020.350.362
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-04Walk
2023-06-04GIDP2%35%64%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.