Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Christian Bethancourt

matchup for Seth Lugo

115th out of 436 (Best 27%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for C. Bethancourt

184th out of 567 (Best 33%)

Leans in favor of Lugo

Christian Bethancourt has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.8% higher than Bethancourt's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	25.4%	3.8%	4.6%	17.0%	3.7%	30.5%
Bethancourt	+1.8	+2.5	+0.8	-0.6	+2.3	-0.7	+1.9
Lugo	-3.4	+1.5	+0.7	-0.4	+1.1	-4.9	+5.7

Christian Bethancourt is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bethancourt has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Christian Bethancourt has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Christian Bethancourt has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Christian Bethancourt hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

16.5% of Christian Bethancourt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.3% +0.8% 6%

Walk -4.3% -2.3% 39%

In Play +1.0% +1.4% 39%

On Base -6.4% -0.4% 31%

Hit -2.1% +1.9% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +0.8% +0.1%

34.0% of Christian Bethancourt's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.5% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.4% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -5.5% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -2.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.6% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.4% -2.2%

30.9% of Christian Bethancourt's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.6% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.2% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.7% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.1% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.6% -1.6%

13.5% of Christian Bethancourt's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%