Matchup Machine

Wilmer Flores

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matchup for Hunter Greene

326th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Hunter Greene

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matchup for Wilmer Flores

554th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Moderate advantage for Greene
4

Model Prediction

Wilmer Flores has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Greene, which is 5.0% lower than Flores's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Greene.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%16.1%2.4%3.8%9.9%11.1%20.6%
Flores-5.0-6.1-0.1-1.4-4.6+1.1+5.3
Greene+0.2-0.9-0.50.0-0.4+1.2-11.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Wilmer Flores is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Hunter Greene is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Flores has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Greene throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Wilmer Flores has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
38%

Contact and Outcomes

8.1% of Wilmer Flores's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. Hunter Greene strikes out 19.5% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.0% +7.7% 4%         Walk +0.6% +0.5% 35%         In Play +10.4% -8.2% 39%         On Base +1.3% -6.1% 31%         Hit +0.8% -6.6% 14%         Single -0.3% -3.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -3.1% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.3%

History

Wilmer Flores has 4 plate appearances against Hunter Greene in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.500.000.000.490.124
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Flyout
2025-03-27Pop Out
2023-08-30Groundout44%56%
2023-08-30Groundout5%95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.