Matchup Machine

Wilmer Flores

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

399th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Wilmer Flores

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Flores
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Model Prediction

Wilmer Flores has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 2.5% higher than Flores's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.8%22.7%2.4%4.7%15.6%12.1%18.2%
Flores+2.5-0.1-0.6-0.4+1.0+2.6+3.3
Alcantara+2.6+0.80.0-0.1+0.9+1.8-8.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Wilmer Flores is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Flores has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Wilmer Flores has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

7.8% of Wilmer Flores's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.5% lower than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.5% +2.6% 4%         Walk +0.6% -0.7% 35%         In Play +10.9% -1.9% 39%         On Base +1.1% -4.1% 31%         Hit +0.5% -3.3% 14%         Single -0.4% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -1.4%

History

Wilmer Flores has 5 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual540000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.410.000.040.370.102
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-02Pop Out2%98%
2022-06-02Walk
2022-06-02Groundout29%71%
2022-04-08Groundout1%6%93%
2022-04-08Flyout2%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.