Matchup Machine

Wilmer Flores

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

355th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Wilmer Flores

160th out of 567 (Best 29%)

Strong advantage for Flores
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Model Prediction

Wilmer Flores has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.5% higher than Flores's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%22.2%2.5%5.8%13.9%12.5%12.1%
Flores+2.5-0.6-0.5+0.7-0.7+3.0-2.8
Anderson+1.0-0.1-0.5+0.6-0.2+1.1-9.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Wilmer Flores is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Flores has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Wilmer Flores has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

7.8% of Wilmer Flores's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.5% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.5% -1.9% 4%         Walk +0.6% -1.0% 35%         In Play +10.9% +2.9% 39%         On Base +1.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.5% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.2%

History

Wilmer Flores has 13 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 10 with 3 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual13103003030.300
Expected From Contact →3.930.021.122.790.393
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-14Walk
2024-06-14Single3%74%24%
2024-06-14Groundout10%3%86%
2022-09-06Lineout3%25%72%
2022-09-06Groundout4%96%
2022-09-06Single55%45%
2022-09-06Pop Out99%
2022-08-02Walk
2022-08-02Single50%37%14%
2022-08-02Lineout18%69%13%
2022-07-22Flyout99%
2022-07-22Walk
2022-07-22Lineout2%27%11%60%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.