Matchup Machine

Salvador Perez

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

366th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Salvador Perez

500th out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Leans in favor of Crochet
2

Model Prediction

Salvador Perez has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.3% lower than Perez's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.2%24.6%3.6%6.3%14.8%3.5%33.5%
Perez-3.3-1.7-0.60.0-1.1-1.6+10.2
Crochet+0.7+3.7+1.1+1.3+1.3-3.0-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Salvador Perez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Perez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Salvador Perez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Salvador Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% +9.4% 5%         Walk -3.0% -1.3% 38%         In Play +5.0% -8.1% 39%         On Base -1.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit +1.8% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.1%

History

Salvador Perez has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-07Strikeout
2024-04-07Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.