Matchup Machine

Salvador Perez

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

275th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Salvador Perez

344th out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Perez
4

Model Prediction

Salvador Perez has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.9% lower than Perez's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%25.4%3.9%6.3%15.2%4.6%26.3%
Perez-0.9-0.4-0.3+0.2-0.4-0.5+1.2
Bibee-1.8+2.5+1.1+1.1+0.3-4.2+0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Salvador Perez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Perez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Salvador Perez has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.6% of Salvador Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +3.2% 5%         Walk -2.8% -1.5% 38%         In Play +4.4% -1.7% 39%         On Base -1.6% -0.6% 31%         Hit +1.2% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.8% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.6% +0.3%

History

Salvador Perez has 14 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 12 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual14120000520.000
Expected From Contact →1.520.350.250.930.127
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-03Lineout20%53%27%
2024-09-03Groundout25%75%
2024-09-03Hit By Pitch
2024-08-28Strikeout
2024-08-28Walk
2024-08-28Strikeout
2024-06-29Flyout35%3%62%
2024-06-29Strikeout
2024-06-06Groundout8%92%
2024-06-06Strikeout
2024-06-06Groundout1%6%93%
2023-07-06Strikeout
2023-07-06Pop Out99%
2023-07-06Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.