Matchup Machine

Salvador Perez

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

387th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for Salvador Perez

362nd out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Perez
4

Model Prediction

Salvador Perez has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 0.1% higher than Perez's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%26.1%2.9%6.0%17.1%5.6%22.8%
Perez+0.1-0.3-1.2-0.3+1.2+0.5-0.6
Morejon+1.2+4.0+0.5+1.6+1.8-2.8-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Salvador Perez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Perez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Salvador Perez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Salvador Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% +1.9% 5%         Walk -3.0% -0.8% 38%         In Play +5.0% -1.2% 39%         On Base -1.2% -0.4% 31%         Hit +1.8% +0.4% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.5% -0.1%

History

Salvador Perez has 2 plate appearances against Adrian Morejon in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.004
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-01Flyout100%
2022-08-26Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.