Matchup Machine

Salvador Perez

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

392nd out of 436 (Worst 10%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for Salvador Perez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Perez
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Model Prediction

Salvador Perez has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 1.3% higher than Perez's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%28.9%3.5%6.2%19.1%3.9%17.1%
Perez+1.3+2.5-0.6-0.1+3.3-1.3-6.2
Gillaspie+1.2+3.6+0.9+0.8+2.0-2.5-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Salvador Perez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Perez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Salvador Perez has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Salvador Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% -9.1% 5%         Walk -3.0% -5.0% 38%         In Play +5.0% +14.2% 39%         On Base -1.2% +11.5% 31%         Hit +1.8% +16.6% 14%         Single -0.6% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +7.8% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.2%

History

Salvador Perez has 1 plate appearance against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-09Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.