Matchup Machine

Salvador Perez

sometext

matchup for Austin Gomber

428th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

sometext

Austin Gomber

sometext

matchup for Salvador Perez

36th out of 567 (Best 7%)

Extreme advantage for Perez
10

Model Prediction

Salvador Perez has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 3.3% higher than Perez's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.8%31.5%5.1%8.4%18.0%3.3%16.0%
Perez+3.3+5.2+1.0+2.0+2.1-1.9-7.3
Gomber+3.1+5.6+1.8+1.7+2.1-2.6-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Salvador Perez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Perez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Salvador Perez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Salvador Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% -3.3% 5%         Walk -3.0% -2.5% 38%         In Play +5.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base -1.2% +0.6% 31%         Hit +1.8% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.6% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.3%

History

Salvador Perez has 8 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual882002100.250
Expected From Contact →1.510.060.181.270.189
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Single75%24%
2024-07-06Flyout6%14%80%
2024-07-06Groundout35%65%
2023-06-03Single2%98%
2023-06-03Lineout99%
2022-05-15Strikeout
2022-05-15Groundout14%86%
2022-05-15Flyout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.