Salvador Perez has a 38.2% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 6.7% higher than Perez's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Stroman.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 38.2% | 33.6% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 22.1% | 4.6% | 16.0% |
Perez | +6.7 | +7.2 | +0.0 | +1.0 | +6.2 | -0.5 | -7.3 |
Stroman | +0.6 | +4.8 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.8 | -4.2 | -2.1 |
Salvador Perez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Perez has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Salvador Perez has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers
13.4% of Salvador Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Salvador Perez has 6 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a double and a walk
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.96 | 0.00 | 0.92 | 1.04 | 0.391 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-10 | Single | 86% | 14% | ||
2024-09-10 | Double | 91% | 8% | 2% | |
2024-09-10 | Catcher Interference | ||||
2024-06-11 | Groundout | ||||
2024-06-11 | Walk | ||||
2024-06-11 | Flyout | 1% | 10% | 89% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.