Matchup Machine

Salvador Perez

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

406th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Salvador Perez

20th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Perez
10

Model Prediction

Salvador Perez has a 38.2% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 6.7% higher than Perez's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.2%33.6%4.2%7.4%22.1%4.6%16.0%
Perez+6.7+7.2+0.0+1.0+6.2-0.5-7.3
Stroman+0.6+4.8+1.5+1.5+1.8-4.2-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Salvador Perez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Perez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Salvador Perez has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Salvador Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% -3.1% 5%         Walk -3.0% -0.8% 38%         In Play +5.0% +3.9% 39%         On Base -1.2% +3.0% 31%         Hit +1.8% +3.8% 14%         Single -0.6% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +2.5% -1.1%

History

Salvador Perez has 6 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual652011010.400
Expected From Contact →1.960.000.921.040.391
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-10Single86%14%
2024-09-10Double91%8%2%
2024-09-10Catcher Interference
2024-06-11Groundout
2024-06-11Walk
2024-06-11Flyout1%10%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.