matchup for JP Sears
matchup for G. Stanton
7
Giancarlo Stanton has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 0.5% lower than Stanton's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Sears.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.9% | 21.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 22.4% |
| Stanton | -0.5 | +0.7 | +0.9 | +1.1 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -7.4 |
| Sears | +1.1 | -0.9 | +1.5 | -0.1 | -2.3 | +2.0 | +4.0 |
Giancarlo Stanton is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stanton has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Giancarlo Stanton has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
43%
Slider (L)
33%
Changeup (L)
17%
Sinker (L)
6%
14% of JP Sears's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Giancarlo Stanton has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+2%
Meatball
7%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-2%
Weak Challenge
6%
-2%
40% of JP Sears's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Giancarlo Stanton has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
40%
+18%
Medium Fast Velo
28%
+13%
Small Drop
23%
+10%
17.2% of Giancarlo Stanton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+4.3%
-2.6%
4%
Walk
+0.4%
-1.1%
41%
In Play
-4.7%
+3.7%
39%
On Base
+0.2%
-2.5%
31%
Hit
-0.1%
-1.4%
14%
Single
-2.4%
-1.5%
13%
2B / 3B
-2.4%
-1.1%
3%
Home Run
+4.7%
+1.2%
30.7% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. JP Sears induces Standard Grounders at a 27.3% rate, which is 7.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.6%
-0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
-3.7%
-7.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.6%
-0.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.0%
-2.0%
9%
Rising Liner
+2.3%
0.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.2%
+3.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+4.3%
-0.1%
1%
No Doubter
+2.0%
+1.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
-4.9%
+0.8%
3%
Pop up
+2.0%
+3.9%
45.7% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% higher than the league average. 26.1% of batted balls allowed by JP Sears are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-5.1%
+2.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.7%
-6.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-7.3%
+1.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-5.4%
+0.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+21.4%
+1.8%
9.8% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 16.0% of batted balls allowed by JP Sears are hit at this angle, which is 4.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.5%
-2.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.1%
-2.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.4%
-0.9%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.8%
-3.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.5%
-0.1%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.6%
+4.6%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.7%
+0.1%
8%
Above 50°
+2.0%
+4.3%
Giancarlo Stanton has 10 plate appearances against JP Sears in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 10 with 2 home runs and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.300 |
| Expected From Contact → | 3.59 | 1.99 | 0.02 | 1.58 | 0.359 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-21 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-09-21 | GIDP | 7% | 93% | ||
| 2024-09-21 | Home Run | 100% | |||
| 2024-04-22 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-04-22 | Single | 78% | 21% | ||
| 2023-06-28 | Home Run | 100% | |||
| 2023-06-28 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-08-26 | GIDP | 62% | 38% | ||
| 2022-08-26 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
| 2022-08-26 | Groundout | 11% | 89% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
