Matchup Machine

Giancarlo Stanton

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

232nd out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for G. Stanton

404th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Leans in favor of Morejon
2

Model Prediction

Giancarlo Stanton has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 1.7% lower than Stanton's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.8%20.8%3.5%3.9%13.4%9.0%29.1%
Stanton-1.7-0.2-0.7-0.8+1.3-1.4-0.7
Morejon-0.7-1.2+1.0-0.5-1.8+0.5+4.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Giancarlo Stanton is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Stanton has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Giancarlo Stanton has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Giancarlo Stanton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +1.9% 4%         Walk +0.4% -0.8% 41%         In Play -4.7% -1.2% 39%         On Base +0.2% -0.4% 31%         Hit -0.1% +0.4% 14%         Single -2.4% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +4.7% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years