Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Giancarlo Stanton

matchup for Trevor Rogers

143rd out of 436 (Best 34%)

Trevor Rogers

matchup for G. Stanton

257th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Moderate advantage for Stanton

Giancarlo Stanton has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 0.6% higher than Stanton's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Rogers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	21.9%	4.1%	4.8%	13.0%	10.1%	25.6%
Stanton	+0.6	+0.8	-0.1	+0.1	+0.9	-0.2	-4.2
Rogers	-2.1	-2.4	+1.4	-0.9	-2.8	+0.3	+6.0

Giancarlo Stanton is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Stanton has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Giancarlo Stanton has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

48%

Changeup (L)

26%

Slider (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Giancarlo Stanton has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 19%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

48% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Giancarlo Stanton has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 48%

+26%

Offspeed (L) 26%

+14%

Fast Velo 20%

+10%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

17.2% of Giancarlo Stanton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.3% -0.4% 4%

Walk +0.4% +0.3% 41%

In Play -4.7% +0.2% 39%

On Base +0.2% +0.7% 31%

Hit -0.1% +0.4% 14%

Single -2.4% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -2.4% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +4.7% -0.8%

30.7% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.7% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -3.0% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +2.3% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +4.3% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +2.0% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% +0.2% 3%

Pop up +2.1% -0.9%

45.8% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.5% higher than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.1% -1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -7.3% +1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.4% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +21.5% +4.5%

9.8% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%