Matchup Machine

Giancarlo Stanton

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matchup for Freddy Peralta

189th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Freddy Peralta

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matchup for G. Stanton

436th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Moderate advantage for Peralta
3

Model Prediction

Giancarlo Stanton has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 1.7% lower than Stanton's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%17.0%4.2%3.9%8.9%13.1%36.7%
Stanton-1.7-4.3-0.1-0.8-3.4+2.7+6.7
Peralta-0.6-2.2+1.2-0.9-2.4+1.6+9.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Giancarlo Stanton is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Stanton has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Giancarlo Stanton has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Giancarlo Stanton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +8.7% 4%         Walk +0.4% +1.1% 41%         In Play -4.6% -9.8% 39%         On Base +0.2% -6.5% 31%         Hit -0.1% -7.7% 14%         Single -2.4% -3.7% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -3.7% 3%         Home Run +4.7% -0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years