Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Giancarlo Stanton

matchup for Blake Treinen

206th out of 436 (Best 48%)

Blake Treinen

matchup for G. Stanton

529th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Treinen

Giancarlo Stanton has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Blake Treinen, which is 4.7% lower than Stanton's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Treinen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.8%	16.0%	3.4%	2.7%	9.9%	10.8%	38.1%
Stanton	-4.7	-5.1	-0.8	-2.1	-2.2	+0.4	+8.3
Treinen	-0.3	-2.2	+0.8	-0.7	-2.3	+1.8	+6.1

Giancarlo Stanton is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Blake Treinen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Stanton has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Blake Treinen throws a Sinker 43% of the time. Giancarlo Stanton has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

43%

Slider (R)

27%

Cutter (R)

15%

4-Seam (R)

14%

11% of Blake Treinen's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Giancarlo Stanton has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

41% of Blake Treinen's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Giancarlo Stanton has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 41%

+26%

Very Fast Velo 31%

+23%

Fastball (R) 71%

+18%

Just Gravity 28%

+15%

17.2% of Giancarlo Stanton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Blake Treinen strikes out 21.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.3% +7.1% 4%

Walk +0.4% -0.5% 41%

In Play -4.7% -6.6% 39%

On Base +0.2% -4.3% 31%

Hit -0.1% -3.8% 14%

Single -2.4% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.4% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +4.7% -1.3%

30.7% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Blake Treinen induces Standard Grounders at a 42.1% rate, which is 7.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.7% +7.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.0% +0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +2.3% -2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -2.5% 3%

Likely Homer +4.3% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +2.0% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% -3.0% 3%

Pop up +2.1% +2.0%

45.8% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.5% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Blake Treinen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.1% +7.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% +0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -7.3% -2.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.4% -3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +21.5% -2.8%

9.8% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Blake Treinen are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.5% +4.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.3% +0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +1.7% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.5% -5.8% 11%

29 to 38° -1.6% +0.8% 7%

39 to 50° -0.7% +0.8% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +0.2%

Giancarlo Stanton has 4 plate appearances against Blake Treinen in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			0.71	0.01	0.62	0.08			0.177

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-10-30	Flyout		1%		98%
2024-10-26	Single		45%	6%	49%
2024-10-25	Strikeout
2024-06-07	Flyout	1%	16%		82%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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