matchup for Chris Sale
matchup for G. Stanton
1
Giancarlo Stanton has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 1.1% lower than Stanton's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Sale.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.3% | 22.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 35.2% |
| Stanton | -1.1 | +1.8 | -0.3 | +1.5 | +0.5 | -2.9 | +5.5 |
| Sale | +0.8 | +0.5 | +1.9 | +0.4 | -1.8 | +0.3 | +3.9 |
Giancarlo Stanton is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Stanton has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Giancarlo Stanton has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
39%
Slider (L)
38%
Changeup (L)
15%
8% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Giancarlo Stanton has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
8%
+3%
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Chaser
8%
+2%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Weak Challenge
9%
0%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-2%
Meatball
2%
-4%
46% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Giancarlo Stanton has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
46%
+30%
Large Drop
28%
+23%
Extreme Slow Velo
22%
+13%
Breaking (L)
38%
+8%
17.2% of Giancarlo Stanton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+4.3%
+11.2%
4%
Walk
+0.4%
-2.1%
41%
In Play
-4.7%
-9.1%
39%
On Base
+0.2%
-4.7%
31%
Hit
-0.1%
-2.6%
14%
Single
-2.4%
-0.9%
13%
2B / 3B
-2.4%
-1.1%
3%
Home Run
+4.7%
-0.6%
30.7% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Chris Sale induces Standard Grounders at a 36.5% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.6%
-0.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
-3.7%
+2.0%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.6%
-1.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.0%
+0.9%
9%
Rising Liner
+2.3%
+0.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.2%
+0.9%
3%
Likely Homer
+4.3%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
+2.0%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-4.9%
-0.9%
3%
Pop up
+2.0%
-0.5%
45.7% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-5.1%
+2.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.7%
+3.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-7.3%
-1.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-5.4%
-2.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+21.4%
-2.8%
9.8% of Giancarlo Stanton's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 13.6% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.5%
-0.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.1%
-0.9%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.4%
+1.2%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.8%
-1.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.5%
+0.1%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.6%
+2.2%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.7%
+0.3%
8%
Above 50°
+2.0%
-1.4%
Giancarlo Stanton has 3 plate appearances against Chris Sale in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.093 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-21 | Groundout | 28% | 72% | ||
| 2024-06-21 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-06-21 | Caught Stealing 2B | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
