Matchup Machine

Anthony Rizzo

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Anthony Rizzo

38th out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Rizzo
9

Model Prediction

Anthony Rizzo has a 37.5% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.3% higher than Rizzo's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.5%29.2%1.5%5.3%22.4%8.3%15.5%
Rizzo+5.3+6.4-0.1-0.2+6.8-1.1-4.7
Stroman-0.1+0.3-1.2-0.6+2.1-0.4-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Rizzo is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rizzo has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Anthony Rizzo has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.9% of Anthony Rizzo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.5% -3.1% 4%         Walk +0.4% -0.8% 38%         In Play +4.1% +3.9% 39%         On Base +2.3% +3.0% 31%         Hit +1.8% +3.8% 14%         Single +1.3% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years