Matchup Machine

      DJ LeMahieu

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      matchup for Tim Herrin

      271st out of 436 (Worst 38%)

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      Tim Herrin

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      matchup for DJ LeMahieu

      476th out of 564 (Worst 16%)

      Leans in favor of Herrin
      1

      Model Prediction

      DJ LeMahieu has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Tim Herrin, which is 2.1% lower than LeMahieu's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Herrin.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      DJ LeMahieu is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tim Herrin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. LeMahieu has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Tim Herrin throws a Slider 33% of the time. DJ LeMahieu has an A grade against left-handed Sliders

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
      33%
         4-Seam (L)
      31%
         Curve (L)
      26%
         Sinker (L)
      10%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.3% of DJ LeMahieu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Tim Herrin strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% +1.9% 3%         Walk +2.1% +1.8% 37%         In Play +5.1% -3.8% 39%         On Base +6.0% -3.6% 31%         Hit +3.9% -5.5% 14%         Single +2.6% -2.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.5% -2.2% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -1.0%

      History

      DJ LeMahieu has 1 plate appearance against Tim Herrin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-08-20Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.