DJ LeMahieu has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 2.4% higher than LeMahieu's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Gallen.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 35.6% | 25.3% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 21.3% |
LeMahieu | +2.4 | +0.1 | -0.2 | +0.1 | +0.2 | +2.3 | +4.0 |
Gallen | +2.9 | +4.3 | -1.1 | -0.5 | +5.9 | -1.5 | -9.0 |
DJ LeMahieu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. LeMahieu has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. DJ LeMahieu has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
22% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. DJ LeMahieu has a C grade against this type of pitch.
25% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. DJ LeMahieu has a D- grade against this type of pitch.
10.3% of DJ LeMahieu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
42.9% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Zac Gallen induces Standard Grounders at a 32.8% rate, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
29.3% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 25.9% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
7.5% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
DJ LeMahieu has 3 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.73 | 0.378 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-09-24 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-09-24 | Single | 2% | 73% | 24% | |
2023-09-24 | Walk |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.