Matchup Machine

      DJ LeMahieu

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      matchup for Zac Gallen

      348th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

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      Zac Gallen

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      matchup for DJ LeMahieu

      259th out of 564 (Best 47%)

      Moderate advantage for LeMahieu
      5

      Model Prediction

      DJ LeMahieu has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 2.4% higher than LeMahieu's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Gallen.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      DJ LeMahieu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. LeMahieu has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. DJ LeMahieu has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      49%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      23%
         Changeup (R)
      14%
         Cutter (R)
      10%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.3% of DJ LeMahieu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% +3.5% 3%         Walk +2.1% -0.3% 37%         In Play +5.1% -3.2% 39%         On Base +6.0% -1.9% 31%         Hit +3.9% -1.6% 14%         Single +2.6% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +2.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.1%

      History

      DJ LeMahieu has 3 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual321001110.500
      Expected From Contact →0.760.000.020.730.378
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-09-24Strikeout
      2023-09-24Single2%73%24%
      2023-09-24Walk

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.