DJ LeMahieu has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 1.4% higher than LeMahieu's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Mahle.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.6% | 26.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 19.7% | 8.3% | 16.5% |
LeMahieu | +1.4 | +1.1 | +0.4 | -0.2 | +0.9 | +0.3 | -0.7 |
Mahle | +4.3 | +5.4 | -1.1 | +0.1 | +6.4 | -1.1 | -8.6 |
DJ LeMahieu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. LeMahieu has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. DJ LeMahieu has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
9% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. DJ LeMahieu has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
54% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. DJ LeMahieu has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
10.3% of DJ LeMahieu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
42.9% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Tyler Mahle induces Standard Grounders at a 32.1% rate, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
29.3% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
7.5% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 14.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
DJ LeMahieu has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Mahle in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-04-15 | Pop Out | 99% | |||
2023-04-15 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-04-15 | Single | 82% | 16% | 2% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.