Matchup Machine

      DJ LeMahieu

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      matchup for Tyler Mahle

      397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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      Tyler Mahle

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      matchup for DJ LeMahieu

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Strong advantage for LeMahieu
      7

      Model Prediction

      DJ LeMahieu has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 1.4% higher than LeMahieu's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Mahle.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      DJ LeMahieu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. LeMahieu has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. DJ LeMahieu has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      55%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Splitter (R)
      16%
         Curve (R)
      5%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.3% of DJ LeMahieu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% +10.2% 3%         Walk +2.1% -1.2% 37%         In Play +5.1% -8.9% 39%         On Base +6.0% -5.6% 31%         Hit +3.9% -4.3% 14%         Single +2.6% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.5% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -1.4%

      History

      DJ LeMahieu has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Mahle in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331001100.333
      Expected From Contact →1.000.000.830.170.333
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-04-15Pop Out99%
      2023-04-15Strikeout
      2023-04-15Single82%16%2%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.